资产类别内的套息因子

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Quant Buffet 原生回测 IDE

Edit and run Quant Buffet Python for 资产类别内的套息因子 in the browser. Results update live with equity, drawdown, and metrics charts. Allowed: backtest.data, backtest.engine, backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas. Define ASSETS and make_on_day(prices). Shortcut: Ctrl+Enter. API docs →

Ready — edit code, then Run backtest.
IDE · 43 lines
Quant Buffet syntax cheat sheet (copy / insert)

Paste these fragments into the editor. The sandbox rejects QuantConnect, os, and network libraries.

Required imports
Only these libraries are allowed in the sandbox.
from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd

from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metrics
ASSETS list (whitelisted ETFs)
Module-level list. Tickers must be in the Quant Buffet whitelist.
ASSETS = ["SPY", "QQQ", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
make_on_day contract
Must return (on_day, ready). on_day calls engine.set_target_weights.
def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
    cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
    sma = prices[cols].rolling(200, min_periods=200).mean()
    state = {"last": None}

    def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
        if sma.loc[dt].isna().all():
            return
        key = (dt.year, dt.month)
        if state["last"] == key:
            return
        state["last"] = key
        long = [
            s for s in cols
            if pd.notna(prices.at[dt, s]) and pd.notna(sma.at[dt, s])
            and prices.at[dt, s] > sma.at[dt, s]
        ]
        weights = {} if not long else {s: 1.0 / len(long) for s in long}
        engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)

    ready = sma.dropna(how="all").index.min() if sma.notna().any().any() else None
    return on_day, ready
Set target weights
Weights should sum to about 1.0. Empty dict = 100% cash.
engine.set_target_weights(dt, {"SPY": 0.60, "BIL": 0.40})

Live backtest performance

CAGR
-0.48%
Sharpe
0.07
Max DD
-80.40%
Vol
18.94%
Sortino
0.11
Beta
0.34
Up days
53%

Run the backtest to populate charts.

Export to your platform

Transform Quant Buffet lab code (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine) into native classes for a third-party IDE — then copy and paste.

Run in: QuantConnect Cloud or LEAN CLI · QCAlgorithm with Equity securities and monthly rebalance.

Detected pattern: Custom / hybridAssets: SPY, TLT, GLD, BIL
# Generated from Quant Buffet → QuantConnect LEAN
# Strategy: 资产类别内的套息因子
# Detected pattern: Custom / hybrid
# Source uses Quant Buffet lab APIs (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine).
# Review fees, data, and risk before live trading — educational export only.

from AlgorithmImports import *


class QuantBuffetExport(QCAlgorithm):
    def Initialize(self):
        self.SetStartDate(2010, 1, 1)
        self.SetCash(100000)
        tickers = ["SPY", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
        self.symbols = []
        for t in tickers:
            if "-" in t:  # crypto proxy e.g. BTC-USD
                self.symbols.append(self.AddCrypto(t.replace("-USD", ""), Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
            else:
                self.symbols.append(self.AddEquity(t, Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
        self.Schedule.On(
            self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.symbols[0]),
            self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbols[0], 30),
            self.Rebalance,
        )
        # Logic: Custom Quant Buffet logic — adapt the signal block to match your lab on_day().

    def Rebalance(self):
        # Pattern: custom — Custom Quant Buffet logic — adapt the signal block to match your lab on_day().
        # Default: equal-weight. Port your make_on_day weights here via SetHoldings.
        w = 1.0 / len(self.symbols) if self.symbols else 0.0
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            self.SetHoldings(symbol, w)

导出代码使用目标平台的原生类与库。请在第三方 IDE 中安装依赖后运行;实盘前请自行验证。

学术论文

作者套利 [点击查看论文]

原文论文截图

Screenshot from the original paper
Screenshot from the original paper

策略概要

该策略涵盖13种股指期货、19种货币远期合约、23种商品期货和10种政府债券合约,重点关注四种类型的套利:股票套利、货币套利、商品套利和债券套利。

货币套利:做多高利率货币,做空低利率货币。

股票套利:预期股息收益率减去无风险利率。

商品套利:便利收益超过存储成本,源自近期和长期到期期货价格。

债券套利:到期收益率超过短期无风险利率。

在每个子领域中,做多高套利工具,做空低套利工具,权重基于套利排名。投资组合每月进行再平衡。多元化的套利策略结合了所有资产类别的等波动率加权回报,优化了跨市场对套利交易潜力的敞口。

II. 策略合理性

学术研究表明,套利效应存在于全球股票、债券、商品和货币中。资产的“套利”代表其在假设价格不变情况下的预期回报,提供了一种无模型、直接可观测的预期回报衡量标准。与需要模型估计的价格升值不同,套利与主要资产类别的预期回报可靠相关,随时间和资产而变化,使其成为回报变异性的预测指标。然而,多头套利头寸的回报溢价可能补偿在全球经济衰退和流动性紧缩期间遭受重大损失的风险敞口,突显其在波动经济条件下的风险回报性质。

回测表现

年化收益-0.48%
波动率18.94%
贝塔0.34
夏普比率0.07
索提诺比率0.11
最大回撤-80.40%
胜率53%