股票中的广告效应

登录后收藏

Onsite backtest IDE

Quant Buffet 原生回测 IDE

Edit and run Quant Buffet Python for 股票中的广告效应 in the browser. Results update live with equity, drawdown, and metrics charts. Allowed: backtest.data, backtest.engine, backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas. Define ASSETS and make_on_day(prices). Shortcut: Ctrl+Enter. API docs →

Ready — edit code, then Run backtest.
IDE · 50 lines
Quant Buffet syntax cheat sheet (copy / insert)

Paste these fragments into the editor. The sandbox rejects QuantConnect, os, and network libraries.

Required imports
Only these libraries are allowed in the sandbox.
from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd

from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metrics
ASSETS list (whitelisted ETFs)
Module-level list. Tickers must be in the Quant Buffet whitelist.
ASSETS = ["SPY", "QQQ", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
make_on_day contract
Must return (on_day, ready). on_day calls engine.set_target_weights.
def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
    cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
    sma = prices[cols].rolling(200, min_periods=200).mean()
    state = {"last": None}

    def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
        if sma.loc[dt].isna().all():
            return
        key = (dt.year, dt.month)
        if state["last"] == key:
            return
        state["last"] = key
        long = [
            s for s in cols
            if pd.notna(prices.at[dt, s]) and pd.notna(sma.at[dt, s])
            and prices.at[dt, s] > sma.at[dt, s]
        ]
        weights = {} if not long else {s: 1.0 / len(long) for s in long}
        engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)

    ready = sma.dropna(how="all").index.min() if sma.notna().any().any() else None
    return on_day, ready
Set target weights
Weights should sum to about 1.0. Empty dict = 100% cash.
engine.set_target_weights(dt, {"SPY": 0.60, "BIL": 0.40})

Live backtest performance

CAGR
7.89%
Sharpe
0.63
Max DD
-33.72%
Vol
13.60%
Sortino
0.93
Beta
0.51
Up days
51%

Run the backtest to populate charts.

Export to your platform

Transform Quant Buffet lab code (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine) into native classes for a third-party IDE — then copy and paste.

Run in: QuantConnect Cloud or LEAN CLI · QCAlgorithm with Equity securities and monthly rebalance.

Detected pattern: Absolute momentumAssets: SPY, TLT, GLD, BIL
# Generated from Quant Buffet → QuantConnect LEAN
# Strategy: 股票中的广告效应
# Detected pattern: Absolute momentum
# Source uses Quant Buffet lab APIs (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine).
# Review fees, data, and risk before live trading — educational export only.

from AlgorithmImports import *


class QuantBuffetExport(QCAlgorithm):
    def Initialize(self):
        self.SetStartDate(2010, 1, 1)
        self.SetCash(100000)
        tickers = ["SPY", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
        self.symbols = []
        for t in tickers:
            if "-" in t:  # crypto proxy e.g. BTC-USD
                self.symbols.append(self.AddCrypto(t.replace("-USD", ""), Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
            else:
                self.symbols.append(self.AddEquity(t, Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
        self.Schedule.On(
            self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.symbols[0]),
            self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbols[0], 30),
            self.Rebalance,
        )
        # Logic: Long assets with positive 252-day return; equal-weight; monthly.

    def Rebalance(self):
        # Pattern: abs_momentum — Long assets with positive 252-day return; equal-weight; monthly.
        # Default: equal-weight. Port your make_on_day weights here via SetHoldings.
        w = 1.0 / len(self.symbols) if self.symbols else 0.0
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            self.SetHoldings(symbol, w)

导出代码使用目标平台的原生类与库。请在第三方 IDE 中安装依赖后运行;实盘前请自行验证。

学术论文

Advertising, Attention, and Stock Returns

作者Advertising, Attention, and Stock Returns [点击查看论文]

机构
  • Boston College
  • ?Boston College - Carroll School of Management
  • Fordham University
  • ?Fordham University - Gabelli School of Business

原文论文截图

Screenshot from the original paper
Screenshot from the original paper

策略概要

该策略针对市值超过2000万美元的NYSE、AMEX和NASDAQ股票。广告变化(ΔAdvt)通过计算从前一年到当年(广告年度)广告支出的对数差异来得出。每年,股票根据ΔAdvt的大小被分为十个分位数。一个零投资组合通过做空第10分位数(广告变化大的股票)并做多第1分位数(广告变化小的股票)来构建。股票在t+1年7月购买,持有六个月,按等权重分配,并基于完整的财务数据进行选择。

II. 策略合理性

学术研究将这一异常现象归因于投资者的有限注意力,这限制了他们评估所有投资和处理大量信息的能力。广告能够吸引注意力,增加买单或投资者信念的异质性,从而在广告年度推动股票价格上涨。然而,随着广告的注意力效应随时间减弱,股价往往会下降,导致未来的负回报。这表明,吸引注意力的广告可以暂时抬高股票价格,但随着广告影响力的减弱,这一效应会反转,从而在股价波动中形成一种可利用的模式,这与投资者行为和注意力动态有关。

回测表现

年化收益7.89%
波动率13.60%
贝塔0.51
夏普比率0.63
索提诺比率0.93
最大回撤-33.72%
胜率51%