股票中的复杂性效应

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Onsite backtest IDE

Quant Buffet 原生回测 IDE

Edit and run Quant Buffet Python for 股票中的复杂性效应 in the browser. Results update live with equity, drawdown, and metrics charts. Allowed: backtest.data, backtest.engine, backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas. Define ASSETS and make_on_day(prices). Shortcut: Ctrl+Enter. API docs →

Ready — edit code, then Run backtest.
IDE · 50 lines
Quant Buffet syntax cheat sheet (copy / insert)

Paste these fragments into the editor. The sandbox rejects QuantConnect, os, and network libraries.

Required imports
Only these libraries are allowed in the sandbox.
from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd

from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metrics
ASSETS list (whitelisted ETFs)
Module-level list. Tickers must be in the Quant Buffet whitelist.
ASSETS = ["SPY", "QQQ", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
make_on_day contract
Must return (on_day, ready). on_day calls engine.set_target_weights.
def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
    cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
    sma = prices[cols].rolling(200, min_periods=200).mean()
    state = {"last": None}

    def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
        if sma.loc[dt].isna().all():
            return
        key = (dt.year, dt.month)
        if state["last"] == key:
            return
        state["last"] = key
        long = [
            s for s in cols
            if pd.notna(prices.at[dt, s]) and pd.notna(sma.at[dt, s])
            and prices.at[dt, s] > sma.at[dt, s]
        ]
        weights = {} if not long else {s: 1.0 / len(long) for s in long}
        engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)

    ready = sma.dropna(how="all").index.min() if sma.notna().any().any() else None
    return on_day, ready
Set target weights
Weights should sum to about 1.0. Empty dict = 100% cash.
engine.set_target_weights(dt, {"SPY": 0.60, "BIL": 0.40})

Live backtest performance

CAGR
7.89%
Sharpe
0.63
Max DD
-33.72%
Vol
13.60%
Sortino
0.93
Beta
0.51
Up days
51%

Run the backtest to populate charts.

Export to your platform

Transform Quant Buffet lab code (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine) into native classes for a third-party IDE — then copy and paste.

Run in: QuantConnect Cloud or LEAN CLI · QCAlgorithm with Equity securities and monthly rebalance.

Detected pattern: Absolute momentumAssets: SPY, TLT, GLD, BIL
# Generated from Quant Buffet → QuantConnect LEAN
# Strategy: 股票中的复杂性效应
# Detected pattern: Absolute momentum
# Source uses Quant Buffet lab APIs (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine).
# Review fees, data, and risk before live trading — educational export only.

from AlgorithmImports import *


class QuantBuffetExport(QCAlgorithm):
    def Initialize(self):
        self.SetStartDate(2010, 1, 1)
        self.SetCash(100000)
        tickers = ["SPY", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
        self.symbols = []
        for t in tickers:
            if "-" in t:  # crypto proxy e.g. BTC-USD
                self.symbols.append(self.AddCrypto(t.replace("-USD", ""), Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
            else:
                self.symbols.append(self.AddEquity(t, Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
        self.Schedule.On(
            self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.symbols[0]),
            self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbols[0], 30),
            self.Rebalance,
        )
        # Logic: Long assets with positive 252-day return; equal-weight; monthly.

    def Rebalance(self):
        # Pattern: abs_momentum — Long assets with positive 252-day return; equal-weight; monthly.
        # Default: equal-weight. Port your make_on_day weights here via SetHoldings.
        w = 1.0 / len(self.symbols) if self.symbols else 0.0
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            self.SetHoldings(symbol, w)

导出代码使用目标平台的原生类与库。请在第三方 IDE 中安装依赖后运行;实盘前请自行验证。

学术论文

Complicated Firms

作者Complicated Firms [点击查看论文]

机构
  • National Bureau of Economic Research
  • Harvard University
  • Centre for Economic Policy Research
  • London School of Economics and Political Science
  • ?Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
  • ?London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE)
  • ?National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
  • ?Harvard University - Business School (HBS)

原文论文截图

Screenshot from the original paper
Screenshot from the original paper

策略概要

该策略以纽约证券交易所(NYSE)、美国证券交易所(AMEX)和纳斯达克(NASDAQ)的股票为目标,排除股价低于5美元或市值低于NYSE第10百分位的公司。公司被分类为独立公司(80%以上的销售来自单一行业)或综合企业(在多个行业运营,80%以上的合并子公司销售来自不同领域)。每年6月底,为每个综合企业构建一个“伪综合企业”,通过复制其行业细分并按每个细分的销售百分比加权。每月,根据前一个月伪综合企业的回报将综合企业排序为十分位。策略在表现最好的十分位做多,在最差的十分位做空,并每月重新平衡等权重仓位。

II. 策略合理性

该策略的基础,如“简短描述”部分所述,源于投资者有限的处理能力、资本约束以及难以处理复杂信息的挑战,这些因素导致新信息在资产价格中的反映存在滞后。新信息首先体现在容易分析的公司(单一行业运营者)的价格上,然后才会反映到更复杂公司的价格中(如综合企业)。因此,单一行业公司投资组合的表现可以作为综合企业回报的预测指标。

回测表现

年化收益7.89%
波动率13.60%
贝塔0.51
夏普比率0.63
索提诺比率0.93
最大回撤-33.72%
胜率51%