利用跨式期权交易财报公告

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Onsite backtest IDE

Quant Buffet 原生回测 IDE

Edit and run Quant Buffet Python for 利用跨式期权交易财报公告 in the browser. Results update live with equity, drawdown, and metrics charts. Allowed: backtest.data, backtest.engine, backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas. Define ASSETS and make_on_day(prices). Shortcut: Ctrl+Enter. API docs →

Ready — edit code, then Run backtest.
IDE · 50 lines
Quant Buffet syntax cheat sheet (copy / insert)

Paste these fragments into the editor. The sandbox rejects QuantConnect, os, and network libraries.

Required imports
Only these libraries are allowed in the sandbox.
from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd

from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metrics
ASSETS list (whitelisted ETFs)
Module-level list. Tickers must be in the Quant Buffet whitelist.
ASSETS = ["SPY", "QQQ", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
make_on_day contract
Must return (on_day, ready). on_day calls engine.set_target_weights.
def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
    cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
    sma = prices[cols].rolling(200, min_periods=200).mean()
    state = {"last": None}

    def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
        if sma.loc[dt].isna().all():
            return
        key = (dt.year, dt.month)
        if state["last"] == key:
            return
        state["last"] = key
        long = [
            s for s in cols
            if pd.notna(prices.at[dt, s]) and pd.notna(sma.at[dt, s])
            and prices.at[dt, s] > sma.at[dt, s]
        ]
        weights = {} if not long else {s: 1.0 / len(long) for s in long}
        engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)

    ready = sma.dropna(how="all").index.min() if sma.notna().any().any() else None
    return on_day, ready
Set target weights
Weights should sum to about 1.0. Empty dict = 100% cash.
engine.set_target_weights(dt, {"SPY": 0.60, "BIL": 0.40})

Live backtest performance

CAGR
11.49%
Sharpe
0.73
Max DD
-28.64%
Vol
16.74%
Sortino
1.11
Beta
0.57
Up days
36%

Run the backtest to populate charts.

Export to your platform

Transform Quant Buffet lab code (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine) into native classes for a third-party IDE — then copy and paste.

Run in: QuantConnect Cloud or LEAN CLI · QCAlgorithm with Equity securities and monthly rebalance.

Detected pattern: Absolute momentumAssets: SPY, TLT, GLD, BIL
# Generated from Quant Buffet → QuantConnect LEAN
# Strategy: 利用跨式期权交易财报公告
# Detected pattern: Absolute momentum
# Source uses Quant Buffet lab APIs (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine).
# Review fees, data, and risk before live trading — educational export only.

from AlgorithmImports import *


class QuantBuffetExport(QCAlgorithm):
    def Initialize(self):
        self.SetStartDate(2010, 1, 1)
        self.SetCash(100000)
        tickers = ["SPY", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
        self.symbols = []
        for t in tickers:
            if "-" in t:  # crypto proxy e.g. BTC-USD
                self.symbols.append(self.AddCrypto(t.replace("-USD", ""), Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
            else:
                self.symbols.append(self.AddEquity(t, Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
        self.Schedule.On(
            self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.symbols[0]),
            self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbols[0], 30),
            self.Rebalance,
        )
        # Logic: Long assets with positive 252-day return; equal-weight; monthly.

    def Rebalance(self):
        # Pattern: abs_momentum — Long assets with positive 252-day return; equal-weight; monthly.
        # Default: equal-weight. Port your make_on_day weights here via SetHoldings.
        w = 1.0 / len(self.symbols) if self.symbols else 0.0
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            self.SetHoldings(symbol, w)

导出代码使用目标平台的原生类与库。请在第三方 IDE 中安装依赖后运行;实盘前请自行验证。

学术论文

作者预测不确定性:财报公告前后的跨式期权 [点击查看论文]

原文论文截图

Screenshot from the original paper
Screenshot from the original paper

策略概要

该策略的目标是价格高于5美元的纽约证券交易所、美国证券交易所和纳斯达克的可期权股票。识别期权到期日前十天内的财报公告。对于符合条件的股票,投资者在财报公告前三天购买delta中性跨式期权组合。由于高波动性,仅分配10%的投资组合资产。跨式期权组合采用等权重,并持有至到期日,旨在利用财报公告前后的价格波动,同时限制整体投资组合风险的敞口。这种方法利用时机和期权定价动态来获取潜在收益。

II. 策略合理性

学术研究表明,delta中性的平值跨式期权在财报公告期间产生显著的正回报。这种情况的发生是因为期权市场投资者在公告前始终对公司基本面不确定性的增加反应不足。这种反应不足源于一种称为保守主义的行为偏差,即投资者基于新数据调整其信念的速度很慢。这种对信息的延迟反应为跨式期权策略创造了机会,可以利用财报事件周围期权市场中可预测的波动性上升和错误定价。

回测表现

年化收益11.49%
波动率16.74%
贝塔0.57
夏普比率0.73
索提诺比率1.11
最大回撤-28.64%
胜率36%