中国机构股权动量

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学术论文

散户投资者与动量

作者Jun Du; Dashan Huang; Yu-Jane Liu; Yushui Shi; Avanidhar Subrahmanyam; Huacheng Zhang

机构
  • Peking University
  • Peking University - Guanghua School of Management
  • Singapore Management University
  • Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business
  • Monash University
  • Monash University - Department of Banking and Finance
  • International Business School
  • University of California, Los Angeles
  • Research Network (United States)
  • Financial Research Network (FIRN)
  • Institute of Global Finance, UNSW Business School
  • University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Finance Area
  • University of Nottingham
  • Nottingham University Business School

导读

投资标的:FXI、ASHR、EWH、SPY、BIL。再平衡:每月。Universe: FXI, ASHR, EWH, SPY, BIL. Parameters: rebalance=monthly.

策略概要

该策略投资于中国股票,先按名义价格分成十组、再按过去12个月累计收益分成五组。做多高价格十分位中的赢家、做空同一十分位中的输家,等权、每月再平衡。

经济逻辑

股价影响散户参与,尤其受整手(最少100股)规则约束。小投资者在高价股中参与下降,可形成短期动量。停牌、公司事件和拆股会放大这些效应,产生可预测的收益模式。

入场与出场

入场

每月按 126 日收益排序 FXI, ASHR, EWH, SPY, BIL,等权持有最强的 1 只。

出场

跌出前 1 即卖出,换入新的领涨标的。

所需行情数据

需要 FXI, ASHR, EWH, SPY, BIL 至少 126 根复权收盘价,才能形成第一个有效信号。ETF 仅交易日有行情。 实验室通过 backtest.data.load_daily_prices 读取 Yahoo Finance。

标的

FXI, ASHR, EWH, SPY, BIL

频率

每月 · 日频复权收盘价;信号按月再平衡(用当月最后一个有效交易日)

所需历史

每个标的至少 126 根交易日 K 线(约 6 个交易月),外加数根缓冲才能发出第一个信号。

字段

  • 复权收盘价(Adj Close / auto_adjust Close)
  • 交易日日期索引

凭证

  • 回测与实验室:无需密钥
  • 实盘下单才需要券商 / 交易所 API

API 与数据源

Quant Buffet 数据 API

实验室用 load_daily_prices 拉取 ASSETS 的复权收盘价面板,磁盘缓存后回测可复现。

提供方
backtest.data.load_daily_prices
鉴权
回测无需密钥
接口
load_daily_prices(ASSETS, start="2000-01-01")
API / docs → /zh/docs/data-api

Yahoo Finance(yfinance)

美股 / ETF 复权 OHLCV,免费研究接口,有速率限制。

提供方
yfinance → Yahoo Finance
鉴权
公开历史无需密钥
接口
Ticker.history / yf.download(auto_adjust=True)
API / docs → github.com/ranaroussi/yfinance

Onsite backtest IDE

Quant Buffet 原生回测 IDE

Edit and run Quant Buffet Python for 中国机构股权动量 in the browser. Results update live with equity, drawdown, and metrics charts. Allowed: backtest.data, backtest.engine, backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas. Define ASSETS and make_on_day(prices). Shortcut: Ctrl+Enter. API docs →

Ready — edit code, then Run backtest.
IDE · 42 lines
Quant Buffet syntax cheat sheet (copy / insert)

Paste these fragments into the editor. The sandbox rejects QuantConnect, os, and network libraries.

Required imports
Only these libraries are allowed in the sandbox.
from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd

from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metrics
ASSETS list (whitelisted ETFs)
Module-level list. Tickers must be in the Quant Buffet whitelist.
ASSETS = ["SPY", "QQQ", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
make_on_day contract
Must return (on_day, ready). on_day calls engine.set_target_weights.
def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
    cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
    sma = prices[cols].rolling(200, min_periods=200).mean()
    state = {"last": None}

    def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
        if sma.loc[dt].isna().all():
            return
        key = (dt.year, dt.month)
        if state["last"] == key:
            return
        state["last"] = key
        long = [
            s for s in cols
            if pd.notna(prices.at[dt, s]) and pd.notna(sma.at[dt, s])
            and prices.at[dt, s] > sma.at[dt, s]
        ]
        weights = {} if not long else {s: 1.0 / len(long) for s in long}
        engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)

    ready = sma.dropna(how="all").index.min() if sma.notna().any().any() else None
    return on_day, ready
Set target weights
Weights should sum to about 1.0. Empty dict = 100% cash.
engine.set_target_weights(dt, {"SPY": 0.60, "BIL": 0.40})

Live backtest performance

CAGR
6.52%
Sharpe
0.39
Max DD
-57.88%
Vol
23.22%
Sortino
0.61
Beta
0.64
Up days
69%

Run the backtest to populate charts.

Order records

Run the backtest to load every order fill alongside performance.

Export to your platform

Transform Quant Buffet lab code (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine) into native classes for a third-party IDE — then copy and paste.

Target platform

Run in: QuantConnect Cloud or LEAN CLI · QCAlgorithm with Equity securities and monthly rebalance.

Detected pattern: Momentum rotationAssets: FXI, ASHR, EWH, SPY, BIL
# Generated from Quant Buffet → QuantConnect LEAN
# Strategy: 中国机构股权动量
# Detected pattern: Momentum rotation
# Source uses Quant Buffet lab APIs (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine).
# Review fees, data, and risk before live trading — educational export only.

from AlgorithmImports import *


class QuantBuffetExport(QCAlgorithm):
    def Initialize(self):
        self.SetStartDate(2010, 1, 1)
        self.SetCash(100000)
        tickers = ["FXI", "ASHR", "EWH", "SPY", "BIL"]
        self.symbols = []
        for t in tickers:
            if "-" in t:  # crypto proxy e.g. BTC-USD
                self.symbols.append(self.AddCrypto(t.replace("-USD", ""), Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
            else:
                self.symbols.append(self.AddEquity(t, Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
        self.Schedule.On(
            self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.symbols[0]),
            self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbols[0], 30),
            self.Rebalance,
        )
        # Logic: Hold top 1 by 126-day return; monthly.

    def Rebalance(self):
        scores = {}
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            hist = self.History(symbol, 126 + 5, Resolution.Daily)
            if hist.empty: continue
            close = hist["close"]
            if hasattr(close, "unstack"):
                close = close.unstack(level=0).iloc[:, 0]
            if len(close) < 126 + 1: continue
            scores[symbol] = float(close.iloc[-1] / close.iloc[-126 - 1] - 1)
        ranked = sorted(scores.items(), key=lambda kv: kv[1], reverse=True)[:1]
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            self.SetHoldings(symbol, 0)
        if ranked:
            w = 1.0 / len(ranked)
            for symbol, _ in ranked:
                self.SetHoldings(symbol, w)

导出代码使用目标平台的原生类与库。请在第三方 IDE 中安装依赖后运行;实盘前请自行验证。