VIX Put-Call Volume Ratio

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Quant Buffet native backtest IDE

Edit and run Quant Buffet Python for VIX Put-Call Volume Ratio in the browser. Results update live with equity, drawdown, and metrics charts. Allowed: backtest.data, backtest.engine, backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas. Define ASSETS and make_on_day(prices). Shortcut: Ctrl+Enter. API docs →

Ready — edit code, then Run backtest.
IDE · 44 lines
Quant Buffet syntax cheat sheet (copy / insert)

Paste these fragments into the editor. The sandbox rejects QuantConnect, os, and network libraries.

Required imports
Only these libraries are allowed in the sandbox.
from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd

from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metrics
ASSETS list (whitelisted ETFs)
Module-level list. Tickers must be in the Quant Buffet whitelist.
ASSETS = ["SPY", "QQQ", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
make_on_day contract
Must return (on_day, ready). on_day calls engine.set_target_weights.
def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
    cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
    sma = prices[cols].rolling(200, min_periods=200).mean()
    state = {"last": None}

    def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
        if sma.loc[dt].isna().all():
            return
        key = (dt.year, dt.month)
        if state["last"] == key:
            return
        state["last"] = key
        long = [
            s for s in cols
            if pd.notna(prices.at[dt, s]) and pd.notna(sma.at[dt, s])
            and prices.at[dt, s] > sma.at[dt, s]
        ]
        weights = {} if not long else {s: 1.0 / len(long) for s in long}
        engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)

    ready = sma.dropna(how="all").index.min() if sma.notna().any().any() else None
    return on_day, ready
Set target weights
Weights should sum to about 1.0. Empty dict = 100% cash.
engine.set_target_weights(dt, {"SPY": 0.60, "BIL": 0.40})

Live backtest performance

CAGR
1.44%
Sharpe
0.17
Max DD
-36.97%
Vol
14.04%
Sortino
0.26
Beta
0.55
Up days
48%

Run the backtest to populate charts.

Export to your platform

Transform Quant Buffet lab code (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine) into native classes for a third-party IDE — then copy and paste.

Run in: QuantConnect Cloud or LEAN CLI · QCAlgorithm with Equity securities and monthly rebalance.

Detected pattern: Mean reversionAssets: SPY, TLT, GLD, BIL
# Generated from Quant Buffet → QuantConnect LEAN
# Strategy: VIX Put-Call Volume Ratio
# Detected pattern: Mean reversion
# Source uses Quant Buffet lab APIs (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine).
# Review fees, data, and risk before live trading — educational export only.

from AlgorithmImports import *


class QuantBuffetExport(QCAlgorithm):
    def Initialize(self):
        self.SetStartDate(2010, 1, 1)
        self.SetCash(100000)
        tickers = ["SPY", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
        self.symbols = []
        for t in tickers:
            if "-" in t:  # crypto proxy e.g. BTC-USD
                self.symbols.append(self.AddCrypto(t.replace("-USD", ""), Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
            else:
                self.symbols.append(self.AddEquity(t, Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
        self.Schedule.On(
            self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.symbols[0]),
            self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbols[0], 30),
            self.Rebalance,
        )
        # Logic: Buy when return z-score < -1 over 20 days.

    def Rebalance(self):
        import numpy as np
        picks = []
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            hist = self.History(symbol, 20 + 5, Resolution.Daily)
            if hist.empty: continue
            close = hist["close"]
            if hasattr(close, "unstack"):
                close = close.unstack(level=0).iloc[:, 0]
            rets = close.pct_change().dropna()
            if len(rets) < 20: continue
            window = rets.iloc[-20:]
            z = (window.iloc[-1] - window.mean()) / (window.std() or 1e-9)
            if z < -1:
                picks.append(symbol)
        w = 1.0 / len(picks) if picks else 0.0
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            self.SetHoldings(symbol, w if symbol in picks else 0.0)

Exported code uses the platform’s native classes and libraries. Install dependencies in your third-party IDE, then run. Validate before live trading.

Academic paper

The Information Content of the VIX Options Trading Volume

AuthorsChen Gu; Xu Guo; Alexander Kurov; Raluca Stan

Institute
  • Shanghai Business School
  • ?Shanghai Business School - Research Center of Finance
  • Shenzhen University
  • ?Shenzhen University - College of Economics
  • West Virginia University
  • ?West Virginia University - College of Business & Economics
  • University of Minnesota, Duluth
  • ?University of Minnesota Duluth

Screenshot from the original paper

Screenshot from the original paper
Screenshot from the original paper

Strategy in a nutshell

The investment universe consists of nearby VIX futures contracts, with the next-to-maturity contract selected when its daily trading volume is higher. Volume data are sourced from CBOE, and futures data from Genesis Financial Technologies. First, compute the daily aggregated put-call volume ratio using the trading volume of VIX puts and calls initiated by buyers opening new positions. The ratio is calculated as put volume divided by the sum of put and call volumes. Next, calculate the z-score of the put-call ratio using an expanding timeframe (initial normalization performed after 600 days). If the z-score exceeds 0.75, take a short position in VIX futures, which is closed the following day.

Economic rationale

Research indicates that sophisticated and informed investors actively use options. Consistent with prior literature, the strategy assumes that informed traders use VIX options to express their market views. The aggregated trading volume of these traders reflects valuable information, allowing the put-call ratio to predict subsequent VIX movements. This predictive power remains robust even after controlling for economic and financial variables such as term spreads, credit spreads, T-bill spreads, or lagged S&P 500 returns. The effect is persistent, stronger when VIX levels are high, and holds across both recessionary and expansionary periods.

Backtest performance

Annualised return1.44%
Volatility14.04%
Beta0.55
Sharpe ratio0.17
Sortino ratio0.26
Maximum drawdown-36.97%
Win rate48%