Net Current Asset Value Effect
Log in to collectAcademic paper
Testing Benjamin Graham's Net Current Asset Value Strategy in London
Ying Xiao; Glen Arnold
University of Salford
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=966188


Strategy in a nutshell
The investment pool includes stocks from the London Exchange, omitting firms with multiple share classes, foreign entities, lightly regulated market participants, and financial sector businesses. Each July, a portfolio is assembled, selecting stocks boasting an NCAV/MV ratio above 1.5 for inclusion. This portfolio, adopting a Buy-and-hold strategy, remains unchanged for a year. Within this portfolio, all stocks are assigned equal weight.
Economic rationale
The NCAV rule creates portfolios consisting of stocks whose market capitalization is below their cash plus inventory value. Many of these stocks are priced low because they belong to companies facing financial difficulties, with a significant number on the brink of bankruptcy. However, a portion of these stocks, acquired at substantial discounts, tend to outperform, leading to statistically significant gains. Consequently, despite the inherent risks, the cumulative return of the portfolio tends to be overwhelmingly positive.
Entry & exit
Entry
On each month, make_on_day sets target weights for SPY, BIL. Read engine.set_target_weights in the lab code for the exact signal.
Exit
A name is exited when its target weight is set to 0 (or the whole dict is empty = cash). Fills use 5 bps commission and 2 bps slippage.
Market data required
Needs at least 60 adjusted daily closes on SPY, BIL before the first signal is ready. ETF columns print on exchange sessions only. The lab loads Yahoo Finance via backtest.data.load_daily_prices.
Symbols
SPY, BIL
Frequency
Yearly · Daily adjusted close; signals rebalance on the month change (last available session)
History needed
≥ 60 trading days per symbol (about 3 months), plus a few extra bars so the first signal can fire.
Fields
- Adjusted close (Yahoo auto_adjust)
- Session date index
Credentials
- None for paper and the onsite lab
- Broker or exchange API keys only for live orders
APIs & providers
Quant Buffet Data API
The lab calls load_daily_prices for the ASSETS panel of adjusted closes, then caches CSV so backtests replay the same series.
- Provider
- backtest.data.load_daily_prices
- Auth
- None for paper / sandbox backtests
- Endpoints
- load_daily_prices(ASSETS, start="2000-01-01")
Yahoo Finance via yfinance
US equities and ETFs, adjusted OHLCV, free for research (rate limits apply).
- Provider
- yfinance → Yahoo Finance
- Auth
- None for public history
- Endpoints
- Ticker.history / yf.download(auto_adjust=True)
Onsite backtest IDE
Quant Buffet native backtest IDEEdit and run Quant Buffet Python for Net Current Asset Value Effect in the browser. Results update live with equity, drawdown, and metrics charts. Allowed: backtest.data, backtest.engine, backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas. Define ASSETS and make_on_day(prices). Shortcut: Ctrl+Enter. API docs →
Quant Buffet syntax cheat sheet (copy / insert)
Paste these fragments into the editor. The sandbox rejects QuantConnect, os, and network libraries.
from __future__ import annotations
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metricsASSETS = ["SPY", "QQQ", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
sma = prices[cols].rolling(200, min_periods=200).mean()
state = {"last": None}
def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
if sma.loc[dt].isna().all():
return
key = (dt.year, dt.month)
if state["last"] == key:
return
state["last"] = key
long = [
s for s in cols
if pd.notna(prices.at[dt, s]) and pd.notna(sma.at[dt, s])
and prices.at[dt, s] > sma.at[dt, s]
]
weights = {} if not long else {s: 1.0 / len(long) for s in long}
engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)
ready = sma.dropna(how="all").index.min() if sma.notna().any().any() else None
return on_day, readyengine.set_target_weights(dt, {"SPY": 0.60, "BIL": 0.40})Live backtest performance
Order records
Export to your platform
Transform Quant Buffet lab code (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine) into native classes for a third-party IDE — then copy and paste.
# Generated from Quant Buffet → QuantConnect LEAN
# Strategy: Net Current Asset Value Effect
# Detected pattern: Custom / hybrid
# Source uses Quant Buffet lab APIs (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine).
# Review fees, data, and risk before live trading — educational export only.
from AlgorithmImports import *
class QuantBuffetExport(QCAlgorithm):
def Initialize(self):
self.SetStartDate(2010, 1, 1)
self.SetCash(100000)
tickers = ["SPY", "BIL"]
self.symbols = []
for t in tickers:
if "-" in t: # crypto proxy e.g. BTC-USD
self.symbols.append(self.AddCrypto(t.replace("-USD", ""), Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
else:
self.symbols.append(self.AddEquity(t, Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
self.Schedule.On(
self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.symbols[0]),
self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbols[0], 30),
self.Rebalance,
)
# Logic: Custom Quant Buffet logic — adapt the signal block to match your lab on_day().
def Rebalance(self):
# Pattern: custom — Custom Quant Buffet logic — adapt the signal block to match your lab on_day().
# Default: equal-weight. Port your make_on_day weights here via SetHoldings.
w = 1.0 / len(self.symbols) if self.symbols else 0.0
for symbol in self.symbols:
self.SetHoldings(symbol, w)
Exported code uses the platform’s native classes and libraries. Install dependencies in your third-party IDE, then run. Validate before live trading.