Quant BuffetRelax, Not Over Thinking

International Trade Momentum

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Academic paper

Strategy in a nutshell

Invest in U.S. stocks using the Trade Momentum Index, long top 5th percentile and short bottom 5th percentile, rebalanced monthly, based on 10-K mentions and export data.

Economic rationale

Delayed market incorporation of foreign export information creates alpha opportunities. The Trade Momentum Index captures return predictability of U.S. multinational firms from geographic disclosures in 10-K filings.

Backtest performance

Annualised return20.67%
Volatility20.05%
Sharpe ratio1.03