Quant BuffetRelax, Not Over Thinking

High Disagreement Predicts Hedge Fund Returns

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Academic paper

Disagreement Exploitation and the Cross-Section of Hedge Funds Performance

AuthorsGady Jacoby; Shi Li; Nanying Lin

Institute
  • Seton Hall University
  • CAUniversity of Manitoba
  • ILCollege of Management Academic Studies
  • ?University of Manitoba - Department of Accounting and Finance
  • CACarleton University
  • ?Sprott School of Business, Carleton University
  • ?University of Manitoba - Asper School of Business

Strategy in a nutshell

Invest in hedge funds with the highest disagreement beta, identifying those likely to exploit mispricing. Construct equal-weighted decile portfolios, going long the top decile and rebalancing monthly.

Economic rationale

Skilled hedge funds capitalize on short-selling constraints and mispricing, generating alpha. High disagreement beta signals potential for superior returns, especially among experienced funds with strong incentive structures.

Backtest performance

Annualised return10.49%
Volatility22.68%
Sharpe ratio0.46