multi-asset · Global · Monthly Free

Hierarchical Risk Parity for Portfolio Allocation in the Latin American NUAM Market

Academic paper

AuthorsGonzalo Ramirez-Carrillo; David Ortiz-Mora; Alex Aguilar-Larrotta

Paper linkhttps://arxiv.org/abs/2509.03712v1

Teaser

Allocate inversely to asset volatility so risk contributions are roughly equal. Universe: EWZ, FXI, EWT, EWY, EIDO, THD, EPHE, ECH, EPOL, EZA, ARGT, TUR. Parameters: vol_lookback=63; rebalance=monthly. Rebalanced on the engine's template schedule with 5 bps commission and 2 bps slippage.

Strategy in a nutshell

This study applies the Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP) portfolio allocation methodology to the NUAM market, a regional holding that integrates the markets of Chile, Colombia and Peru. As one of the first empirical analyses of HRP in this newly formed Latin American context, the paper addresses a gap in the literature on portfolio construction under cross-border, emerging market conditions. HRP leverages hierarchical clustering and recursive bisection to allocate risk in a manner that is both interpretable and robust--avoiding the need to invert the covariance matrix, a common limitation in the traditional mean-variance optimization. Using daily data from 54 constituent stocks of the MSCI NUAM Index from 2019 to 2025, we compare the performance of HRP against two standard benchmarks: an equa

Economic rationale

Equalizing risk contributions avoids concentration in the noisiest assets and stabilizes multi-asset drawdowns. Related evidence from “Hierarchical Risk Parity for Portfolio Allocation in the Latin American NUAM Market”: This study applies the Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP) portfolio allocation methodology to the NUAM market, a regional holding that integrates the markets of Chile, Colombia and Peru. As one of the first empirical analyses of HRP in this newly formed Latin American context, the paper addresses a gap in the literature on portfolio construction under cross-border, emerging market conditions. HRP leverages hierarchical clustering and recursive bisection to allocate risk in a manner that is both inte

Entry & exit

Entry

On each month, make_on_day sets target weights for EWZ, FXI, EWT, EWY, EIDO, THD, EPHE, ECH, EPOL, EZA (+2 more). Read engine.set_target_weights in the lab code for the exact signal.

Exit

A name is exited when its target weight is set to 0 (or the whole dict is empty = cash). Fills use 5 bps commission and 2 bps slippage.

Market data required

Needs at least 60 adjusted daily closes on EWZ, FXI, EWT, EWY, EIDO, THD (+6 more) before the first signal is ready. ETF columns print on exchange sessions only. The lab loads Yahoo Finance via backtest.data.load_daily_prices.

Symbols

EWZ, FXI, EWT, EWY, EIDO, THD, EPHE, ECH, EPOL, EZA, ARGT, TUR

Frequency

Monthly · Daily adjusted close; signals rebalance on the month change (last available session)

History needed

≥ 60 trading days per symbol (about 3 months), plus a few extra bars so the first signal can fire.

Fields

Adjusted close (Yahoo auto_adjust)
Session date index

Credentials

None for paper and the onsite lab
Broker or exchange API keys only for live orders

APIs & providers

Quant Buffet Data API

The lab calls load_daily_prices for the ASSETS panel of adjusted closes, then caches CSV so backtests replay the same series.

Provider: backtest.data.load_daily_prices
Auth: None for paper / sandbox backtests
Endpoints: load_daily_prices(ASSETS, start="2000-01-01")

API / docs → /en/docs/data-api

Yahoo Finance via yfinance

US equities and ETFs, adjusted OHLCV, free for research (rate limits apply).

Provider: yfinance → Yahoo Finance
Auth: None for public history
Endpoints: Ticker.history / yf.download(auto_adjust=True)

API / docs → github.com/ranaroussi/yfinance

Onsite backtest IDE

Quant Buffet native backtest IDE

Edit and run Quant Buffet Python for Hierarchical Risk Parity for Portfolio Allocation in the Latin American NUAM Market in the browser. Results update live with equity, drawdown, and metrics charts. Allowed: backtest.data, backtest.engine, backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas. Define ASSETS and make_on_day(prices). Shortcut: Ctrl+Enter. API docs →

IDE · 40 lines

"""
Quant Buffet interactive lab — hierarchical-risk-parity-for-portfolio-allocation-in-the-latin-american-nuam-mar
Allowed: backtest.data / backtest.engine / backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas.
Required: a module-level ASSETS list, and def make_on_day(prices) returning (on_day, ready)
"""
from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd

from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metrics

ASSETS = ['EWZ', 'FXI', 'EWT', 'EWY', 'EIDO', 'THD', 'EPHE', 'ECH', 'EPOL', 'EZA', 'ARGT', 'TUR']
VOL_LOOKBACK = 63

def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
    cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
    rets = prices[cols].pct_change()
    vol = rets.rolling(VOL_LOOKBACK, min_periods=VOL_LOOKBACK).std() * np.sqrt(252)
    state = {"last": None}

    def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
        key = (dt.year, dt.month)
        if state["last"] == key:
            return
        state["last"] = key
        inv = {
            s: 1.0 / float(vol.at[dt, s])
            for s in cols
            if pd.notna(vol.at[dt, s]) and vol.at[dt, s] > 1e-8
        }
        total = sum(inv.values())
        weights = {k: v / total for k, v in inv.items()} if total > 0 else {}
        engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)

    ready = vol.dropna(how="all").index.min() if vol.notna().any().any() else None
    return on_day, ready

"""
Quant Buffet interactive lab — hierarchical-risk-parity-for-portfolio-allocation-in-the-latin-american-nuam-mar
Allowed: backtest.data / backtest.engine / backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas.
Required: a module-level ASSETS list, and def make_on_day(prices) returning (on_day, ready)
"""
from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd

from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metrics

ASSETS = ['EWZ', 'FXI', 'EWT', 'EWY', 'EIDO', 'THD', 'EPHE', 'ECH', 'EPOL', 'EZA', 'ARGT', 'TUR']
VOL_LOOKBACK = 63

def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
    cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
    rets = prices[cols].pct_change()
    vol = rets.rolling(VOL_LOOKBACK, min_periods=VOL_LOOKBACK).std() * np.sqrt(252)
    state = {"last": None}

def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
        key = (dt.year, dt.month)
        if state["last"] == key:
            return
        state["last"] = key
        inv = {
            s: 1.0 / float(vol.at[dt, s])
            for s in cols
            if pd.notna(vol.at[dt, s]) and vol.at[dt, s] > 1e-8
        }
        total = sum(inv.values())
        weights = {k: v / total for k, v in inv.items()} if total > 0 else {}
        engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)

ready = vol.dropna(how="all").index.min() if vol.notna().any().any() else None
    return on_day, ready

Quant Buffet syntax cheat sheet (copy / insert)

Paste these fragments into the editor. The sandbox rejects QuantConnect, os, and network libraries.

Required imports

Only these libraries are allowed in the sandbox.

from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd

from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metrics

ASSETS list (whitelisted ETFs)

Module-level list. Tickers must be in the Quant Buffet whitelist.

ASSETS = ["SPY", "QQQ", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]

make_on_day contract

Must return (on_day, ready). on_day calls engine.set_target_weights.

def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
    cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
    sma = prices[cols].rolling(200, min_periods=200).mean()
    state = {"last": None}

    def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
        if sma.loc[dt].isna().all():
            return
        key = (dt.year, dt.month)
        if state["last"] == key:
            return
        state["last"] = key
        long = [
            s for s in cols
            if pd.notna(prices.at[dt, s]) and pd.notna(sma.at[dt, s])
            and prices.at[dt, s] > sma.at[dt, s]
        ]
        weights = {} if not long else {s: 1.0 / len(long) for s in long}
        engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)

    ready = sma.dropna(how="all").index.min() if sma.notna().any().any() else None
    return on_day, ready

Set target weights

Weights should sum to about 1.0. Empty dict = 100% cash.

engine.set_target_weights(dt, {"SPY": 0.60, "BIL": 0.40})

Live backtest performance

CAGR

7.45%

Sharpe

0.41

Max DD

-64.45%

Vol

25.51%

Sortino

0.63

Beta

1.02

Stored preview only. Run backtest to simulate every daily session from Yahoo Finance adjusted closes.

Run the backtest to load orders, then mark them on the equity chart.

Equity curve (indexed = 100)

Accent = strategy · dashed grey = buy-and-hold benchmark. Hover or tap any point for its date and values.

Drawdown

Metrics bar chart

Monthly returns

Order records

Run the backtest to load every order fill alongside performance.

Export to your platform

Transform Quant Buffet lab code (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine) into native classes for a third-party IDE — then copy and paste.

Target platform

Run in: QuantConnect Cloud or LEAN CLI · QCAlgorithm with Equity securities and monthly rebalance.

Detected pattern: Custom / hybridAssets: EWZ, FXI, EWT, EWY, EIDO, THD, EPHE, ECH, EPOL, EZA, ARGT, TUR

# Generated from Quant Buffet → QuantConnect LEAN
# Strategy: Hierarchical Risk Parity for Portfolio Allocation in the Latin American NUAM Market
# Detected pattern: Custom / hybrid
# Source uses Quant Buffet lab APIs (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine).
# Review fees, data, and risk before live trading — educational export only.

from AlgorithmImports import *


class QuantBuffetExport(QCAlgorithm):
    def Initialize(self):
        self.SetStartDate(2010, 1, 1)
        self.SetCash(100000)
        tickers = ["EWZ", "FXI", "EWT", "EWY", "EIDO", "THD", "EPHE", "ECH", "EPOL", "EZA", "ARGT", "TUR"]
        self.symbols = []
        for t in tickers:
            if "-" in t:  # crypto proxy e.g. BTC-USD
                self.symbols.append(self.AddCrypto(t.replace("-USD", ""), Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
            else:
                self.symbols.append(self.AddEquity(t, Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
        self.Schedule.On(
            self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.symbols[0]),
            self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbols[0], 30),
            self.Rebalance,
        )
        # Logic: Custom Quant Buffet logic — adapt the signal block to match your lab on_day().

    def Rebalance(self):
        # Pattern: custom — Custom Quant Buffet logic — adapt the signal block to match your lab on_day().
        # Default: equal-weight. Port your make_on_day weights here via SetHoldings.
        w = 1.0 / len(self.symbols) if self.symbols else 0.0
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            self.SetHoldings(symbol, w)

Exported code uses the platform’s native classes and libraries. Install dependencies in your third-party IDE, then run. Validate before live trading.