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Gordon Growth Fair Value Model

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Academic paper

The Discounted Cash Flow Terminal Value Model As an Investment Strategy

AuthorsHenrik Rasmussen; Andre Thormann

Institute
  • DKCopenhagen Business School
  • ?Copenhagen Business School, Students

Strategy in a nutshell

The strategy uses the Gordon growth model to estimate fair value for S&P 500 stocks (excluding financials). It invests in companies whose market cap is below their fair value and rebalances the value-weighted portfolio monthly.

Economic rationale

Stocks can deviate from their fundamental values due to short-term sentiment. By comparing market prices to discounted future cash flows, the strategy identifies undervalued companies to buy and overvalued companies to sell.company is overvalued and should be sold.

Backtest performance

Annualised return14.63%
Volatility11.89%
Sharpe ratio1.23