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Expected profitability in UK Stocks

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Academic paper

Expected Profitability, the 52-Week High and the Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle

AuthorsMaher Khasawneh; David G. McMillan; Dimos Kambouroudis

Institute
  • University of Stirling
  • ?University of Stirling - Department of Accounting and Finance

Strategy in a nutshell

Expected profitability predicts future returns. Stocks with higher EROA outperform due to combined effects of Tobin’s q, dividend variables, and accruals, generating significant alpha.

Backtest performance

Annualised return3.49%
Volatility2.58%
Beta-0.017
Sharpe ratio1.35
Win rate56%