Earnings Delays and Advances Predict Stock Returns
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Strategy in a nutshell
The strategy targets U.S. Mid/Large-Cap stocks, trading around earnings announcements by going long on stocks that advance earnings dates and short on those that delay, capturing short-term price reactions.
Economic rationale
Corporate earnings timing signals performance: advancing dates often indicate positive news, delaying dates indicate weakness. The strategy exploits these patterns, as price reactions peak within a few days of the announcement.
Backtest performance
Annualised return8%
Volatility6.68%
Sharpe ratio1.2