Combining Within-Country Momentum and Value

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Teaser

Universe: EWA, EWC, EWG, EWJ, EWU, EFA, EEM, BIL. Parameters: rebalance=monthly.

Strategy in a nutshell

Using ETFs and local futures for 66 countries, the strategy blends book-to-market with 12-month momentum. Long and short legs are equal-weight and the portfolio is rebalanced monthly.

Economic rationale

Value and momentum are negatively correlated at the country level, so a blend has a smoother payoff than either leg alone. Monthly rebalancing stops one signal from dominating after a large move in the other. The lab runs the same rebalance rule on liquid ETFs (EWA, EWC, EWG, EWJ, EWU, EFA, EEM, BIL). That is the tradable stand-in for the paper's original single-name or derivatives universe, and the performance figures are from this ETF backtest.

Entry & exit

Entry

On each month, rank EWA, EWC, EWG, EWJ, EWU, EFA, EEM, BIL by 126-day return and equal-weight the strongest 3 name(s).

Exit

Sell any holding that falls out of the top 3 at the next rebalance and rotate into the new leaders.

Market data required

Needs at least 126 adjusted daily closes on EWA, EWC, EWG, EWJ, EWU, EFA (+2 more) before the first signal is ready. ETF columns print on exchange sessions only. The lab loads Yahoo Finance via backtest.data.load_daily_prices.

Symbols

EWA, EWC, EWG, EWJ, EWU, EFA, EEM, BIL

Frequency

Monthly · Daily adjusted close; signals rebalance on the month change (last available session)

History needed

≥ 126 trading days per symbol (about 6 months), plus a few extra bars so the first signal can fire.

Fields

  • Adjusted close (Yahoo auto_adjust)
  • Session date index

Credentials

  • None for paper and the onsite lab
  • Broker or exchange API keys only for live orders

APIs & providers

Quant Buffet Data API

The lab calls load_daily_prices for the ASSETS panel of adjusted closes, then caches CSV so backtests replay the same series.

Provider
backtest.data.load_daily_prices
Auth
None for paper / sandbox backtests
Endpoints
load_daily_prices(ASSETS, start="2000-01-01")
API / docs → /en/docs/data-api

Yahoo Finance via yfinance

US equities and ETFs, adjusted OHLCV, free for research (rate limits apply).

Provider
yfinance → Yahoo Finance
Auth
None for public history
Endpoints
Ticker.history / yf.download(auto_adjust=True)
API / docs → github.com/ranaroussi/yfinance

Onsite backtest IDE

Quant Buffet native backtest IDE

Edit and run Quant Buffet Python for Combining Within-Country Momentum and Value in the browser. Results update live with equity, drawdown, and metrics charts. Allowed: backtest.data, backtest.engine, backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas. Define ASSETS and make_on_day(prices). Shortcut: Ctrl+Enter. API docs →

Ready — edit code, then Run backtest.
IDE · 42 lines
Quant Buffet syntax cheat sheet (copy / insert)

Paste these fragments into the editor. The sandbox rejects QuantConnect, os, and network libraries.

Required imports
Only these libraries are allowed in the sandbox.
from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd

from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metrics
ASSETS list (whitelisted ETFs)
Module-level list. Tickers must be in the Quant Buffet whitelist.
ASSETS = ["SPY", "QQQ", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]
make_on_day contract
Must return (on_day, ready). on_day calls engine.set_target_weights.
def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
    cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
    sma = prices[cols].rolling(200, min_periods=200).mean()
    state = {"last": None}

    def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
        if sma.loc[dt].isna().all():
            return
        key = (dt.year, dt.month)
        if state["last"] == key:
            return
        state["last"] = key
        long = [
            s for s in cols
            if pd.notna(prices.at[dt, s]) and pd.notna(sma.at[dt, s])
            and prices.at[dt, s] > sma.at[dt, s]
        ]
        weights = {} if not long else {s: 1.0 / len(long) for s in long}
        engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)

    ready = sma.dropna(how="all").index.min() if sma.notna().any().any() else None
    return on_day, ready
Set target weights
Weights should sum to about 1.0. Empty dict = 100% cash.
engine.set_target_weights(dt, {"SPY": 0.60, "BIL": 0.40})

Live backtest performance

CAGR
5.46%
Sharpe
0.39
Max DD
-45.56%
Vol
17.75%
Sortino
0.59
Beta
0.46
Up days
51.00%

Run the backtest to populate charts.

Order records

Run the backtest to load every order fill alongside performance.

Export to your platform

Transform Quant Buffet lab code (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine) into native classes for a third-party IDE — then copy and paste.

Target platform

Run in: QuantConnect Cloud or LEAN CLI · QCAlgorithm with Equity securities and monthly rebalance.

Detected pattern: Momentum rotationAssets: EWA, EWC, EWG, EWJ, EWU, EFA, EEM, BIL
# Generated from Quant Buffet → QuantConnect LEAN
# Strategy: Combining Within-Country Momentum and Value
# Detected pattern: Momentum rotation
# Source uses Quant Buffet lab APIs (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine).
# Review fees, data, and risk before live trading — educational export only.

from AlgorithmImports import *


class QuantBuffetExport(QCAlgorithm):
    def Initialize(self):
        self.SetStartDate(2010, 1, 1)
        self.SetCash(100000)
        tickers = ["EWA", "EWC", "EWG", "EWJ", "EWU", "EFA", "EEM", "BIL"]
        self.symbols = []
        for t in tickers:
            if "-" in t:  # crypto proxy e.g. BTC-USD
                self.symbols.append(self.AddCrypto(t.replace("-USD", ""), Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
            else:
                self.symbols.append(self.AddEquity(t, Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
        self.Schedule.On(
            self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.symbols[0]),
            self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbols[0], 30),
            self.Rebalance,
        )
        # Logic: Hold top 3 by 126-day return; monthly.

    def Rebalance(self):
        scores = {}
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            hist = self.History(symbol, 126 + 5, Resolution.Daily)
            if hist.empty: continue
            close = hist["close"]
            if hasattr(close, "unstack"):
                close = close.unstack(level=0).iloc[:, 0]
            if len(close) < 126 + 1: continue
            scores[symbol] = float(close.iloc[-1] / close.iloc[-126 - 1] - 1)
        ranked = sorted(scores.items(), key=lambda kv: kv[1], reverse=True)[:3]
        for symbol in self.symbols:
            self.SetHoldings(symbol, 0)
        if ranked:
            w = 1.0 / len(ranked)
            for symbol, _ in ranked:
                self.SetHoldings(symbol, w)

Exported code uses the platform’s native classes and libraries. Install dependencies in your third-party IDE, then run. Validate before live trading.