Classic Stock Anomalies with a Trend Filter
Log in to collectAcademic paper
Anomalies Enhanced: The Use of Higher Frequency Information
Anomalies Enhanced: A Portfolio Rebalancing Approach
University of North Carolina at Charlotte- University of North Carolina (UNC) at Charlotte - Finance
University of North Carolina at Greensboro- University of North Carolina (UNC) at Greensboro - Bryan School of Business & Economics
Washington University in St. Louis- Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Teaser
Universe: SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, BIL. Parameters: rebalance=monthly.
Strategy in a nutshell
Stocks are sorted into deciles on a classic anomaly. The strategy trades the top and bottom deciles, but only while a 50-day versus 200-day moving-average signal agrees with the position. The underlying sort is refreshed each June and the trend filter is applied monthly.
Economic rationale
Many cross-sectional anomalies fail in bear markets because the short book and the long book both get hit by beta. A trend filter cuts exposure when the index is below its long average, which is when those anomalies have historically given back their edge. The lab runs the same rebalance rule on liquid ETFs (SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, BIL). That is the tradable stand-in for the paper's original single-name or derivatives universe, and the performance figures are from this ETF backtest.
Entry & exit
Entry
On each month, scan SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, BIL. Long every name whose close is above its 252-day SMA, equal-weight. Skip names still below the average. An empty weight dict is 100% cash.
Exit
At the next rebalance, drop any name whose close has fallen back to or below the 252-day SMA. If the whole book is below trend, go fully to cash. Fills use 5 bps commission and 2 bps slippage.
Market data required
Needs at least 252 adjusted daily closes on SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, BIL before the first signal is ready. ETF columns print on exchange sessions only. The lab loads Yahoo Finance via backtest.data.load_daily_prices.
Symbols
SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, BIL
Frequency
Monthly · Daily adjusted close; signals rebalance on the month change (last available session)
History needed
≥ 252 trading days per symbol (about 12 months), plus a few extra bars so the first signal can fire.
Fields
- Adjusted close (Yahoo auto_adjust)
- Session date index
Credentials
- None for paper and the onsite lab
- Broker or exchange API keys only for live orders
APIs & providers
Quant Buffet Data API
The lab calls load_daily_prices for the ASSETS panel of adjusted closes, then caches CSV so backtests replay the same series.
- Provider
- backtest.data.load_daily_prices
- Auth
- None for paper / sandbox backtests
- Endpoints
- load_daily_prices(ASSETS, start="2000-01-01")
Yahoo Finance via yfinance
US equities and ETFs, adjusted OHLCV, free for research (rate limits apply).
- Provider
- yfinance → Yahoo Finance
- Auth
- None for public history
- Endpoints
- Ticker.history / yf.download(auto_adjust=True)
Onsite backtest IDE
Quant Buffet native backtest IDEEdit and run Quant Buffet Python for Classic Stock Anomalies with a Trend Filter in the browser. Results update live with equity, drawdown, and metrics charts. Allowed: backtest.data, backtest.engine, backtest.metrics, numpy, pandas. Define ASSETS and make_on_day(prices). Shortcut: Ctrl+Enter. API docs →
Quant Buffet syntax cheat sheet (copy / insert)
Paste these fragments into the editor. The sandbox rejects QuantConnect, os, and network libraries.
from __future__ import annotations
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from backtest.data import load_daily_prices
from backtest.engine import EngineConfig, PortfolioEngine
from backtest.metrics import compute_metricsASSETS = ["SPY", "QQQ", "TLT", "GLD", "BIL"]def make_on_day(prices: pd.DataFrame):
cols = [c for c in ASSETS if c in prices.columns]
sma = prices[cols].rolling(200, min_periods=200).mean()
state = {"last": None}
def on_day(engine: PortfolioEngine, dt: pd.Timestamp) -> None:
if sma.loc[dt].isna().all():
return
key = (dt.year, dt.month)
if state["last"] == key:
return
state["last"] = key
long = [
s for s in cols
if pd.notna(prices.at[dt, s]) and pd.notna(sma.at[dt, s])
and prices.at[dt, s] > sma.at[dt, s]
]
weights = {} if not long else {s: 1.0 / len(long) for s in long}
engine.set_target_weights(dt, weights)
ready = sma.dropna(how="all").index.min() if sma.notna().any().any() else None
return on_day, readyengine.set_target_weights(dt, {"SPY": 0.60, "BIL": 0.40})Live backtest performance
Order records
Export to your platform
Transform Quant Buffet lab code (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine) into native classes for a third-party IDE — then copy and paste.
# Generated from Quant Buffet → QuantConnect LEAN
# Strategy: Classic Stock Anomalies with a Trend Filter
# Detected pattern: SMA trend
# Source uses Quant Buffet lab APIs (ASSETS + make_on_day / PortfolioEngine).
# Review fees, data, and risk before live trading — educational export only.
from AlgorithmImports import *
class QuantBuffetExport(QCAlgorithm):
def Initialize(self):
self.SetStartDate(2010, 1, 1)
self.SetCash(100000)
tickers = ["SPY", "QQQ", "IWM", "DIA", "BIL"]
self.symbols = []
for t in tickers:
if "-" in t: # crypto proxy e.g. BTC-USD
self.symbols.append(self.AddCrypto(t.replace("-USD", ""), Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
else:
self.symbols.append(self.AddEquity(t, Resolution.Daily).Symbol)
self.Schedule.On(
self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.symbols[0]),
self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.symbols[0], 30),
self.Rebalance,
)
# Logic: Long assets where close > SMA(252); equal-weight; monthly.
def Rebalance(self):
longs = []
for symbol in self.symbols:
hist = self.History(symbol, 252 + 5, Resolution.Daily)
if hist.empty: continue
close = hist["close"].unstack(level=0).iloc[:, 0] if hasattr(hist["close"], "unstack") else hist["close"]
if len(close) < 252: continue
if float(close.iloc[-1]) > float(close.iloc[-252:].mean()):
longs.append(symbol)
weight = 1.0 / len(longs) if longs else 0.0
for symbol in self.symbols:
self.SetHoldings(symbol, weight if symbol in longs else 0.0)
Exported code uses the platform’s native classes and libraries. Install dependencies in your third-party IDE, then run. Validate before live trading.