Quant BuffetRelax, Not Over Thinking

Bear Beta Factor Investing Strategy

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Academic paper

Strategy in a nutshell

This strategy uses CRSP stocks with fundamentals from Compustat and options data from OptionMetrics. Bear betas are estimated using past returns, and stocks are sorted into deciles. A zero-investment portfolio goes long low bear-beta stocks and shorts high bear-beta stocks, rebalanced monthly.

Economic rationale

Traditional theory suggests high bear-beta stocks should earn higher returns during downturns. Instead, results show a negative beta–return relationship, explained by aggregate disagreement among investors. This anomaly persists and is not captured by standard factor models.

Backtest performance

Annualised return12.55%
Volatility23.57%
Sharpe ratio0.53